没有朋友 Without Peer

On his 90th Birthday.

Mr Lee’s accomplishments for S’pore are 'astonishing and without peer', says Leader of the House Ng Eng Hen

李光耀在新加坡有非凡的成就而且没有朋友。~ 黄永宏

The Final 2

Well, well, the race for 4th PM is now a two-horse competition.

Horse 1: Heng Swee Keat, Education Minister
Horse 2: Chan Chun Sing, Social and Family Development Minister

In order to better understand the current situation, let's examine the ages of three persons:

2013
Hsien Loong is 61 years old.
Swee Keat is 52.
Chun Sing is 44.

PM Lee has been in power since 2004. He is now 9 years as PM.

Assuming he has intention to be in power for 20 years, another 11 years (in year 2024) would make

Hsien Loong 72 years old.
Swee Keat 63.
Chun Sing 55.

Even at age 63, Swee Keat is still young enough to lead the 4th generation. Chun Sing at 55 would be at a good age, but whether he is politically ready would have to depend on many factors.


Let's be honest, Chuan-Jin and Lawrence were not promoted in the recent promotion exercise and this almost mean they are everything but out of contention.

That leaves the final 2, Heng and Chan.

Chan is hand-picked by Kuan Yew, that's why he is seeded in Tanjong Pagar GRC. As to whether Chan will eventually overtake Heng, no one knows for sure.

But one thing to note, Hsien Loong has assigned Swee Keat to chair the SG50 (50th National Day Committee). This is a sign that PM wants to give Heng a headstart. Heng's seniority over Chan, Tan and Wong also gave him a marginal advantage.

If I am not wrong, PM felt that while Chan is a promising candidate, his disposition presently might not look mature for he to be in a front runner seat. Hence PM put in place Heng to oversee matters.

If Swee Keat does a fantastic job in the coming 11 years, and is able to gather support from his ministers, then he might just be the natural succesor after all.


Perhaps Singapore Pools should start taking bets from the public.


=)
BN